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Record of resumption of trading on 12.9: The index went up and down, which seemed a bit disappointing. Why?Guotai Junan Securities Research Report said that looking forward to the market outlook: 1) The adjustment of Hong Kong stocks and A-shares in the early stage has been gradually included in the lack of policy space and the expected adverse impact of Trump tariffs. After the US dollar approaches the 107 mark, it will wait and see, and the short-term RMB may stabilize and rebound; 2) Important domestic conferences are just around the corner, and under the circumstances of sluggish domestic demand and rising external pressure, incremental policy space can be opened, including a potentially higher deficit ratio, more transfer payments to local governments to supplement financial resources, and more active measures to promote consumption; 3) In November, China's manufacturing PMI achieved "three consecutive rises", which is also conducive to the maintenance of risk preference and the continuation of long-term sentiment. We believe that the probability of short-term risk events is not high, and the liquidity of the domestic stock market is also supported. Considering the A500 position opening, the allocation of insurance and wealth management products and the year-end ranking of funds, we should actively prepare for the China stock market's cross-year rebound from December 2024 to January 2025. However, in the mid-line dimension, it is expected that the market will still be disturbed in the spring of 2025, and the mid-line will maintain the N-shaped trend judgment. The emergence of systematic stock market still needs to see further measures to expand credit.

Guosheng Securities Research Report believes that overall, the policy in the past two months has continued to focus on steady growth, steady confidence and stable real estate, with seven specific focuses. In the short term, the Politburo meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in turn in the near future, which will generally determine the policy tone and overall deployment next year. The research report predicts that in 2025, the overall policy tone will be more expanded, more active, more powerful and dry, and it should continue to "guarantee 5%" and may add "promoting price recovery"; The key to expanding domestic demand is the central government's efforts to increase leverage. We will continue to promote the stability of "property market and stock market", and there may be new expressions on "external environment, economic situation, fiscal expansion, consumption, storage and storage, infrastructure expansion and population".ⅴ) Institutional viewpointⅣ) Industrial capital flow

I) market reviewⅡ) Plate aspectⅢ) Individual stock analysis